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How Trump and His Advisers Miscalculated Iran’s Response to War

11/03/2026 03:15 New York Times

In the lead-up to the U.S.-Israeli attack, President Trump downplayed the risks to the energy markets as a short-term concern that should not overshadow the mission to decapitate the Iranian regime.

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Tornado Watches in Illinois, Texas and Oklahoma as Intense Storms Move In

Forecasters warned that areas around Chicago could experience especially dangerous weather. This type of storm in early March is “uncommon,” one forecaster said....

10/03/2026 22:46 New York Times
U.S. Showers Iran With Bombs in Most Intense Strikes of the War, Pentagon Says

Iranians cowered under the barrage as Pete Hegseth, the U.S. defense secretary, said the U.S. aimed to wipe out Iran’s capacity to obtain nuclear weapons “forever.”...

10/03/2026 22:14 New York Times
Pentagon Says 140 Service Members Have Been Injured in Iran War

Eight Americans have been seriously wounded, military officials said, but the bulk of the injured have already returned to duty. Seven Americans have been killed....

10/03/2026 20:19 New York Times
How Long Will the Iran War Last? Trump Offers Conflicting Answers.

Now 11 days into an expanding military campaign, President Trump and his officials have given conflicting indications on how long the United States intends the war to last....

10/03/2026 20:12 New York Times
Higher Oil Prices Could Put the Fed in a Bind as Labor Market Softens

Investors now expect that the Fed will delay a rate cut until September instead of July, as they had before the war in Iran began....

10/03/2026 18:54 New York Times
U.S. Eases Limits on Russian Energy as Oil Prices Soar

The volatility in energy markets because of the war in Iran could not come at a better time for President Vladimir V. Putin....

10/03/2026 17:31 New York Times
‘Nothing Will Remain of Tehran,’ Iranians Say Amid Heavy Bombing

Some residents described the strikes overnight Monday into Tuesday as among the worst they had experienced since the war started....

10/03/2026 17:12 New York Times
I Asked a Former Trump Official to Justify This War

Nadia Schadlow, a deputy national security adviser during Trump’s first term, explains how the U.S.-Israel war with Iran fits in with an “America first” agenda....

10/03/2026 14:56 New York Times
Trump Has No Idea How to End the War With Iran

Only when the U.S.-Israeli bombing of Iran comes to a halt, without destroying the state, can the Iranian people sort out their fate....

10/03/2026 13:59 New York Times
Trump Zigzags on When War Will End, and Investigators Search Epstein’s Ranch in New Mexico

Plus, space mirrors?...

10/03/2026 10:00 New York Times
Trump’s War in Iran, and Rising Gas Prices, Collide With Midterm Agenda

The attack on Iran has led to a surge in energy prices at a moment when the cost of living is a major issue heading into the fall elections....

10/03/2026 03:32 New York Times
Trump Seeks to Calm Oil and Gas Markets but Says Iran War Will Go On

The president said the U.S. could accompany tankers through the Strait of Hormuz if necessary to keep oil flowing. “We’ve already won in many ways, but we haven’t won enough,” he said....

10/03/2026 03:15 New York Times
As Oil Prices Rise, the War With Iran Becomes a Worldwide Economic Hazard

President Trump insists the conflict will be brief, but world leaders are preparing for severe economic blowback....

09/03/2026 22:51 New York Times
Oil Prices Will Remain High as Iran War Continues

While officials look for ways to ease oil shocks, experts say higher prices will likely persist until traffic through the Strait of Hormuz returns....

09/03/2026 22:29 New York Times
Iran War Sends Tremors Through the Global Economy

Also, a giant mirror could soon be sent into space. Here’s the latest at the end of Monday....

09/03/2026 22:08 New York Times
France Is Sending a Large Naval Force to the Middle East

President Emmanuel Macron said the warships would help protect France’s allies in the region, and could be part of a force to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz. He said the war could continue for “several days, maybe several weeks.”...

09/03/2026 21:02 New York Times
Stocks Rebound After Trump Says Iran War Is ‘Very Complete’

The S&P 500 ended slightly higher on Monday as investors interpreted President Trump’s comments as a signal that the conflict could end soon....

09/03/2026 20:21 New York Times
‘The Old Game Is Back’: Oil Is a Potent Geopolitical Tool Again

The war in the Middle East has sent prices soaring, showing how much the world continues to depend on reliable supplies of oil and gas....

09/03/2026 19:16 New York Times
More Strong Storms Expected After Deadly Midwest Tornadoes

More than 70 million people will be at some risk for severe weather on Tuesday, forecasters warned....

09/03/2026 17:26 New York Times
Hip-Hop Icons Tell Justices That Texas Turned Rap Lyrics Into a Death Warrant

Killer Mike, Travis Scott, T.I. and other artists said James Broadnax was sent to death row in Texas based partly on his artistic expression....

09/03/2026 17:04 New York Times
Ukraine Helps U.S. Bases in the Mideast With Stopping Drones

As the war in Iran spreads, Kyiv is eagerly offering its hard-won expertise and advanced technology to counter Iranian drones....

09/03/2026 16:29 New York Times
Amid the Iran War, the U.S. Must Cut Its Exposure to Oil Price Spikes

America is a big oil producer. But its overreliance on crude and the president’s efforts to keep it that way mean times like these can hurt....

09/03/2026 15:06 New York Times
Oil Prices Spike Over $110 a Barrel, Highest Since Pandemic

The jump was a sign of growing concern that the war in the Middle East will take a toll on energy supplies....

09/03/2026 13:15 New York Times
The War’s Effect on the Supermarket

We examine the Middle East’s role in food production....

09/03/2026 13:04 New York Times
How Markwayne Mullin Became Trump’s Homeland Security Pick

The Oklahoma senator whom President Trump chose to run the Department of Homeland Security has risen in Washington by styling himself as a MAGA warrior and Trump loyalist....

09/03/2026 09:03 New York Times
How Trump Betrayed His First Duty to Americans

The Trump administration failed to plan for evacuating either its diplomats or its citizens and did not adequately warn either....

09/03/2026 05:34 New York Times
On the Road With Zelensky, Weathered, Weary and Fighting On

Ukraine’s leader, Volodymyr Zelensky, traveled east to visit frontline troops trying to stave off Russian attacks, and invited reporters for The New York Times to go with him....

09/03/2026 04:01 New York Times
New Yorkers Embrace the First Warm Day of the Season

After a frigid, snowy, seemingly interminable winter, the first taste of mild air had people shedding layers and flocking to parks....

09/03/2026 01:00 New York Times
Oil Prices Surge Above $100 a Barrel for the First Time in Almost Four Years

The jump was a sign of growing concern that the war in the Middle East will take a toll on energy supplies. Stock futures fell about 1.5 percent....

09/03/2026 00:41 New York Times
Pentagon Announces Seventh U.S. Death in War With Iran

The service member killed was not publicly identified, but U.S. Central Command said the death was caused by injuries after an attack on a Saudi military base....

08/03/2026 22:36 New York Times
BREAKING NEWS
11/03 03:15 - How Trump and His Advisers Miscalculated Iran’s Response to War 11/03 03:15 - UK warship HMS Dragon departs for eastern Mediterranean 11/03 03:04 - Iran war live updates: Regime issues threat against protesters; US ‘destroyed’ mine-laying ships near strait of Hormuz 11/03 02:53 - Australians hit by soaring petrol prices now face expected blow of interest rate rise 11/03 02:46 - Qatar warns Gulf security is tied to global stability 11/03 02:46 - Qatar warns Gulf security is tied to global stability 11/03 02:23 - UAE, an oasis for business and partying, faces war 11/03 02:03 - Democrat blasts Trump’s ‘incoherent’ Iran strategy after Pentagon says 140 US service members wounded in operation – as it happened 11/03 01:32 - ‘No endgame’: Why US Democrats say Iran war hearing has them worried 11/03 01:32 - ‘No endgame’: Why US Democrats say Iran war hearing has them worried 11/03 01:22 - Middle East crisis live: Iran warns against protests, saying police have their ‘finger on the trigger’ 11/03 01:18 - US strikes Iranian mine-laying vessels as Middle East war intensifies 11/03 00:59 - The Papers: 'US bombers take off' and 'Heading out - at last' 11/03 00:27 - Iran war cost will be passed to consumers, shipping giant boss tells BBC 11/03 00:11 - Prioritising AI data centres could block new homes, builders warn 11/03 00:00 - Iran war live: Tehran says US, Israel have hit nearly 10,000 civilian sites 11/03 00:00 - Iran war live: Tehran says US, Israel have hit nearly 10,000 civilian sites 10/03 23:27 - Politics live: Wong and Marles insist Australia not at war after sending assistance to Gulf; Palmer makes new run for parliament 10/03 23:16 - Trump says US destroying Iranian mine-laying boats 10/03 22:53 - Witkoff reveals plans for next round of Russia-US-Ukraine talks 10/03 22:50 - Pentagon says about 140 troops wounded, 8 severely, in war with Iran 10/03 22:48 - No 10 to release hundreds of files on Mandelson’s US ambassador appointment on Wednesday 10/03 22:46 - Tornado Watches in Illinois, Texas and Oklahoma as Intense Storms Move In 10/03 22:45 - Democrats say White House offers no clarity on Iran war goals after 11 days 10/03 22:45 - Democrats say White House offers no clarity on Iran war goals after 11 days 10/03 22:14 - U.S. Showers Iran With Bombs in Most Intense Strikes of the War, Pentagon Says 10/03 21:57 - EU chief says turning away from nuclear energy was 'a strategic mistake' 10/03 21:49 - Video shows US Tomahawk missile strike next to bombed Iranian school 10/03 21:15 - US civil rights group documents ‘broad attack on Muslim life’ in 2025 10/03 21:15 - US civil rights group documents ‘broad attack on Muslim life’ in 2025 10/03 21:10 - Around 140 US service members wounded in Iran war, Pentagon says 10/03 21:10 - Around 140 US service members wounded in Iran war, Pentagon says 10/03 21:04 - Prof. Schlevogt’s Compass No. 45: The epoch of viral geopolitics – How the Kanzler sloganizes war 10/03 20:44 - Jess Phillips reveals she is ‘victim of courts backlog’ as jury trial bill passes 10/03 20:31 - Trump's war: What's the endgame in Iran? 10/03 20:30 - Oil shortage, not removal of sanctions, will boost Russia's energy exports, expert says 10/03 20:19 - Pentagon Says 140 Service Members Have Been Injured in Iran War 10/03 20:12 - How Long Will the Iran War Last? Trump Offers Conflicting Answers. 10/03 20:01 - Iran is becoming more defiant in face of US-Israeli onslaught 10/03 19:56 - The Iranian knot: Why Trump turned to Putin 10/03 19:56 - Aviation will feel effect for the rest of the year ‘even if conflict ends t 10/03 19:56 - Aviation will feel effect for the rest of the year ‘even if conflict ends t 10/03 19:35 - Steve Rosenberg: Russia seeks diplomatic and economic gains from Iran war 10/03 19:35 - Ukraine says hit 'key' Russian military factory in missile strike 10/03 19:35 - Kyiv says it hit 'key' Russian military factory in Bryansk strike, Russia says six dead 10/03 19:35 - 'There's going to be a complete reset of the region at the end of this war' 10/03 19:30 - Could the US-Israel war with Iran fuel global inflation? 10/03 19:30 - Could the US-Israel war with Iran fuel global inflation? 10/03 19:28 - German Chancellor concerned US-Israel have no exit plan for Iran war 10/03 19:28 - German Chancellor concerned US-Israel have no exit plan for Iran war 10/03 19:28 - US weighs sending forces into Iran to secure nuclear stockpile, reports say 10/03 19:26 - Royal Navy’s HMS Dragon sails for eastern Mediterranean 10/03 19:14 - Five stories you may have missed amid US-Israeli war on Iran 10/03 19:14 - Five stories you may have missed amid US-Israeli war on Iran 10/03 19:01 - Aramco warns of oil market ‘catastrophe’ unless strait of Hormuz reopens soon 10/03 19:00 - Will War In Iran Really End "Very Soon"? 10/03 18:55 - ‘America has no narrative for victory’ 10/03 18:55 - ‘America has no narrative for victory’ 10/03 18:54 - Higher Oil Prices Could Put the Fed in a Bind as Labor Market Softens 10/03 18:40 - Russian attack kills four in Ukraine’s Sloviansk as both sides claim gains 10/03 18:40 - Russian attack kills four in Ukraine’s Sloviansk as both sides claim gains 10/03 18:33 - War expands to central Beirut as Israeli strike kills Iranians in luxury hotel 10/03 18:21 - Even MAGA Is Calling Out Lindsey Graham's "Soulless" And "Vile" Comments On The Iran War 10/03 18:06 - Oil and gas prices fall after Trump says war is 'very complete' 10/03 18:00 - Iranians living in UK tell Starmer that war will only strengthen Tehran regime 10/03 17:51 - Duterte’s drug war faces judgement at the ICC 10/03 17:51 - Duterte’s drug war faces judgement at the ICC 10/03 17:50 - News24 | Israel says Iran hacked security cameras 10/03 17:46 - Badenoch denies calling for UK to join US-Israeli war on Iran 10/03 17:38 - Tehran endures ‘worst night of strikes’ amid mixed US messages about more to come 10/03 17:32 - WHO warns of health risks from ‘black rain’ in Iran 10/03 17:32 - WHO warns of health risks from ‘black rain’ in Iran 10/03 17:31 - U.S. Eases Limits on Russian Energy as Oil Prices Soar 10/03 17:18 - EU bosses split over US-Israeli war against Iran 10/03 17:14 - Global airlines hike ticket prices as Iran war sends costs soaring 10/03 17:14 - Global airlines hike ticket prices as Iran war sends costs soaring 10/03 17:13 - Israel denies women in Gaza ‘conditions to live’: Amnesty 10/03 17:13 - Israel denies women in Gaza ‘conditions to live’: Amnesty 10/03 17:12 - ‘Nothing Will Remain of Tehran,’ Iranians Say Amid Heavy Bombing 10/03 17:08 - New footage raises likelihood the US struck Iranian girls’ school 10/03 16:48 - Israelis vow to stay put as war rages across border 10/03 16:40 - Iran targeted by fresh strikes as US warns of 'most intense day' 10/03 16:37 - IEA holds talks as member states mull releasing oil reserves amid Iran war 10/03 16:37 - IEA holds talks as member states mull releasing oil reserves amid Iran war 10/03 16:15 - Pipeline of new drugs to fight superbugs is ‘worryingly thin’, experts warn 10/03 16:08 - Russia's deportation of Ukrainian children a 'crime against humanity', says UN inquiry 10/03 16:05 - US general says he ‘respects’ Iran’s fight 10/03 16:05 - US general says he ‘respects’ Iran’s fight 10/03 16:03 - 'My heating oil costs have more than doubled since Iran war started' 10/03 15:58 - Lammy defends jury reforms against claims they will worsen racial bias in legal system – as it happened 10/03 15:57 - As energy prices soar, Russia emerges as major winner of Middle East war 10/03 15:55 - Iran vows to fight 'as long as needed' as Trump says war will end 'soon' 10/03 15:54 - Hegseth vows most intense day yet of US strikes as Iran aims to fight on 10/03 15:51 - Could Putin be the big winner of the Iran war? 10/03 15:40 - Washington cardinal says US war on Iran ‘not morally legitimate’ 10/03 15:38 - MAGA Supporters Are Calling Trump's "No War" Promise A "Blatant Lie" After Iran Strikes 10/03 15:37 - Brazil pitches defense cooperation with BRICS partner to avoid ‘invasion’ 10/03 15:23 - A New Crusade? Christian Zionism and the ‘Holy War’ gripping the Middle East – RT Reports (VIDEO) 10/03 15:17 - 'Real fear' among ordinary Iranians at prospect of Trump deal with regime 10/03 15:12 - 'Waves of displaced' arriving in Lebanon's Sidon as Israel warns of new strikes